Power-law autocorrelated stochastic processes with long-range cross-correlations
نویسنده
چکیده
We develop a stochastic process with two coupled variables where the absolute values of each variable exhibit long-range power-law autocorrelations and are also long-range cross-correlated. We investigate how the scaling exponents characterizing power-law autocorrelation and long-range cross-correlation behavior in the absolute values of the generated variables depend on the two parameters in our model. In particular, if the autocorrelation is stronger, the cross-correlation is also stronger. We test the utility of our approach by comparing the autocorrelation and cross-correlation properties of the time series generated by our model with data on daily returns over ten years for two major financial indices, the Dow Jones and the S&P500, and on daily returns of two well-known company stocks, IBM and Microsoft, over five years. PACS. 89.90.+n Other topic in areas of applied and interdisciplinary physics – 05.45.Tp Time series analysis – 05.40.Fb Random walks and Levy flights
منابع مشابه
Quantifying cross-correlations using local and global detrending approaches
In order to quantify the long-range cross-correlations between two time series qualitatively, we introduce a new cross-correlations test QCC(m), where m is the number of degrees of freedom. If there are no cross-correlations between two time series, the cross-correlation test agrees well with the χ(m) distribution. If the cross-correlations test exceeds the critical value of the χ(m) distributi...
متن کاملTime evolution of stochastic processes with correlations in the variance: stability in power-law tails of distributions
We model the time series of the S&P500 index by a combined process, the AR+GARCH process, where AR denotes the autoregressive process which we use to account for the short-range correlations in the index changes and GARCH denotes the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic process which takes into account the long-range correlations in the variance. We study the AR+GARCH process ...
متن کاملStochastic Multiplicative Processes for Financial Markets
We study a stochastic multiplicative system composed of finite asynchronous elements to describe the wealth evolution in financial markets. We find that the wealth fluctuations or returns of this system can be described by a walk with correlated step sizes obeying truncated Lévy-like distribution, and the cross-correlation between relative updated wealths is the origin of the nontrivial propert...
متن کاملStatistical Signatures of Structural Organization: The case of long memory in renewal processes
Identifying and quantifying memory are often critical steps in developing a mechanistic understanding of stochastic processes. These are particularly challenging and necessary when exploring processes that exhibit long-range correlations. The most common signatures employed rely on second-order temporal statistics and lead, for example, to identifying long memory in processes with power-law aut...
متن کاملTempting long-memory – on the interpretation of DFA results
We study the inference of long-range correlations by means of Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA) and argue that power-law scaling of the fluctuation function and thus long-memory may not be assumed a priori but have to be established. This requires the investigation of the local slopes. We account for the variability characteristic for stochastic processes by calculating empirical confidence ...
متن کامل